Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024368 0.026839 0.029295 0.031913 0.034619 0.037329 0.040243
2025-01-26 0.020126 0.024118 0.028208 0.032681 0.037411 0.042243 0.047532
2025-02-02 0.016765 0.021711 0.026915 0.032727 0.038982 0.045462 0.052641
2025-02-09 0.013602 0.019130 0.025105 0.031914 0.039356 0.047160 0.055892
2025-02-16 0.011712 0.017745 0.024420 0.032150 0.040700 0.049748 0.059944
2025-02-23 0.009936 0.016317 0.023551 0.032061 0.041580 0.051736 0.063256
2025-03-02 0.008297 0.014901 0.022584 0.031767 0.042149 0.053312 0.066047
2025-03-09 0.006961 0.013733 0.021820 0.031628 0.042827 0.054949 0.068848
2025-03-16 0.005497 0.012265 0.020610 0.030906 0.042789 0.055747 0.070682
2025-03-23 0.004603 0.011457 0.020140 0.030998 0.043633 0.057484 0.073510
2025-03-30 0.003595 0.010379 0.019275 0.030577 0.043851 0.058491 0.075503
2025-04-06 0.002610 0.009197 0.018209 0.029867 0.043699 0.059051 0.076970
2025-04-13 0.001429 0.007538 0.016544 0.028522 0.042946 0.059100 0.078071
2025-04-20 0.001034 0.007160 0.016587 0.029301 0.044721 0.062062 0.082486
2025-04-27 0.000550 0.006413 0.016070 0.029352 0.045616 0.064009 0.085752
2025-05-04 0.000105 0.005302 0.014941 0.028575 0.045487 0.064754 0.087638
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004783 0.014623 0.028801 0.046531 0.066819 0.090986
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004163 0.014092 0.028716 0.047174 0.068402 0.093768
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003511 0.013438 0.028434 0.047554 0.069658 0.096160
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002979 0.012919 0.028302 0.048093 0.071081 0.098722
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002286 0.012019 0.027611 0.047917 0.071649 0.100292
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001941 0.011703 0.027699 0.048690 0.073313 0.103098
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001471 0.011056 0.027296 0.048831 0.074219 0.105021